As it approaches its 100th day the Battle for Kobane/Ayn al-Arab is
still stuck firmly in an attrition phase. In the week since my last post
the Kurdish Peoples Protection Units (YPG) have continued to mount
patrols on all fronts periodically engaging with Islamic State of Iraq
and the Levant (ISIL) fighters killing 11, capturing small amounts of
weapons and ammunition and liberating the occasional fighting position.
On Thursday (18/12/14) ISIL fighters inside Kobane attempted to launch a
fresh assault against the YPG on the southern front. This assault was
led by two Vehicle Borne Improvised Explosive Devices (VBIED's/truck
bombs) and backed by a tank. However after a night of fighting the YPG
were able to repel this attack resulting in the deaths of 26 ISIL
fighters and the capture of large amounts of ammunition. Sadly 1 YPG
fighter lost his life in this battle.
In response to the ISIL assault the YPG launched their own offensive on
Friday (19/12/14) against ISIL positions at the Yarmouk School from
where Thursday's attack was launched. Although as far as I can tell this
operation is still going on as the YPG consolidate their position it
appears to have been a complete success with the YPG liberating ISIL
positions in and around the school and pushing forward to the edge of
the 48 neighbourhood which is the ISIL stronghold on the southern front.
During this operation 21 ISIL fighters were killed including Abu Zahra
who is the commander of the Chechen Jundullah Brigade. No YPG fighters
lost their lives in the operation.
The YPG have also mounted operations against ISIL positions close to the
cultural centre on the eastern front and conducted commando-style raids
against ISIL in the villages surrounding Kobane - most notably Ko Ali.
Crucially they have also manged to maintain control of the villages for
Tarmik to the south-west and Helinj and Jalabiyah to the south-east
cutting ISIL supply lines to Aleppo City and Raqqa respectively.
At this point I should mention that despite being a desert country in
the depths of winter the weather in Syria can actually be both very wet
and very cold. Therefore the first battle that everybody people is
fighting at this time is the battle to stay warm and dry meaning that
there is often a drop in the tempo of fighting. However the
deteriorating conditions have spurred people into action in neighbouring
Iraq.
You may remember that back in August 2014 ISIL overran dozens of Kurdish
villages at the foot of the Shingal/Sinjar mountains. This forced
50-60,000 ethnic Kurds of the Yazidi religion to escape onto the
mountain where they faced dehydration and starvation or face certain
death at the hands of ISIL. After several weeks the pressure from the
press corp became too much for US President Barack Obama to bear so he
belatedly launched a military operation to prevent a genocide. After a
month of relentless pressure Obama went on to expand the operation to
allow it to go on the offensive against ISIL.
Sadly Obama then rapidly lost his nerve, lost interest and randomly
started carrying out symbolic attacks against mysterious groups like the
Khorasan Group in Syria instead.
On Wednesday (17/12/14) the US-led coalition finally got it together
with the Iraqi Kurdish Peshmerga and the Iraqi military to break the
siege in Sinjar.
At dawn on Wednesday some 8,000 Peshmerga who had assembled at Zumar
which is just north of Mosul Dam around 50km (30 miles) north-west of
Mosul City advanced west. By the following day they had liberated all
the villages and cleared all the ISIL positions within the 700km^2
(420m^2) between Zumar and the city of Shingal/Sinjar. During these two
day the Peshmerga were assisted by 98 coalition air-strikes which acting
in a close air-support role destroyed more then 100 ISIL targets
primarily made up of check-points, fighting positions and ground units.
On Friday (19/12/14) Peshmergas from Rabia which sits on the Syria
border around 125km (75 miles) north-west of Mosul pushed north-east
liberating the are between Sinjar and the border from ISIL. At the same
time the YPG based in Syria along with Yazidi militia pushed up the
mountains from Syria to link up with the advancing Peshmerga. This now
establishes a wide corridor stretching all the way from the Iraqi
Kurdish capital of Arbil to the edge of the YPG's Cizire canton at
Serekanyie some 350km (210 miles) away. Unfortunately in the face of the
Kurdish advances a large proportion of ISIL fighters have fled with
weapons and equipment both into Syria and Mosul which ISIL's stronghold
in Iraq. As the US-led coalition made no attempt to cut them down as
they fled it is likely that they will now re-group in both areas.
Despite this tremendous success by the Kurds the operation suffered a
major setback on Monday (15/12/14) when the Al Nusra Front (ANF) backed
by the Free Men of Levant (FML) and other members of the Islamist Front
(IF) grouping seized the Hamidiyeh and Wadi al-Deif bases in Idlib
province from the Syrian government capturing tanks, armoured vehicles
and lots of advanced weapons in the process. Although a loss by the
Syrian government isn't really a concern of the coalition a gain by the
Al Qaeda allied ANF should be because they are covered by the same
United Nations Security Council (UNSC) resolution as ISIL and the fact
that they have begun to work with the IF grouping suggests they are
getting closer to getting over their ideological differences and allying
themselves with ISIL.
Yesterday the US confirmed that 1,300 extra ground troops will be sent
to Iraq in January. The timing of the announcement couldn't have come at
a worse time because this week the US ground troops who are definitely
not combat troops had their first taste of combat. Essentially a small
group of around 100 US troops had been deployed to the Ain Al-Assad base
which is around 90km (54 miles) west of Ramadi in Anbar province and
around 200km (120 miles) west of the Iraqi capital Baghdad. On Sunday
(14/12/14) ISIL attacked the base forcing the US-troops to open fire and
call in air-strikes to repel the attack. It seems the attack was
successfully repelled in just over two hours although the US is
remaining so tight-lipped about possible casualties they still refusing
to even acknowledge that the event took place.
(Originally Posted) 17:55 on 21/12/14 (UK date).
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