In the past week the European portion of Rihanna's Diamonds World Tour
has come to what the CIA handlers would consider an unsuccessful
conclusion. In turn that makes it much less likely that the final
portion of the tour will achieve its political objectives. Added to that
events in Egypt are having knock on effects across the region
threatening to again change the political direction of the entire Middle
East and North Africa (MENA) region.
As a result in the US the Obama administration is once again coming
under pressure over the attack on the US Embassy in Benghazi, Libya on
September 11th 2012 (11/9/12). This is of course the issue used in the
US to have coded discussions about all aspects of Obama's flawed foreign
policy. In response the US State Department has taken the political
decision to use a not particularly credible threat of a terrorist attack
to close down US Embassies and issue advice against travel across the
globe today (4/8/13) This particularly affects the MENA region where
Sunday is the first day of the normal working week. The Obama
administrations intention was to demonstrate that in return for doing
everything it can to protect US diplomats overseas the US loses its
ability to operate and therefore influence across the globe.
Unfortunately the image of Embassies across the world being shuttered
also demonstrates the negative effect of the Obama administrations
foreign policy.
Following the announcement from the US the UK ordered the temporary
closure of its Embassy in Sanaa, Yemen. The intention here being to put
Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) into the spotlight. Based in
Yemen AQAP are widely considered to be an off-shoot of the Saudi
government and Egypt in particular are worried that if the Saudis wish
to destabilise Egypt they will do so by exporting AQAP militants from
Yemen. Therefore the UK has shifted the focus onto Yemen in an effort to
find what the US knows about Saudi support for AQAP and how it feels
about it. Following the UK announcement Germany and France have also
ordered the temporary closure of their Embassies in Yemen in an effort
to join in the conversation between the US and the UK. Finally the
International Police (INTERPOL) have issued a world wide alert following
prison breaks in Libya and Pakistan. This is INTERPOL trying to find
out what is going on with the US terror alert.
As for Egypt itself it has enjoyed a relatively peaceful couple of days.
The Muslim Brotherhood continued to hold marches in Cairo on Friday
(2/8/13) with a particular focus on media city and the security forces
fired tear gas in response to stone throwing. However we are talking in
terms of injuries rather than fatalities. Also there have been two
continuous days without attacks taking place in the Sinai. However the
worry is that this is simply the calm before the storm because the
military have issued a 48 hour ultimatum for the Brotherhood to abandon
their protest camps in Cairo. No-one is exactly sure when that 48 hour
period began so no-one is sure exactly when it will end let alone what
the military will do when the time comes. However there is a fear that
the military will simply charge in all guns blazing. That is because the
protesters at the Brotherhood camps are armed and the camps are being
used as bases to launch attacks against the military and local
residents. On the battle field when faced with an encampment of armed
opponents it is perfectly acceptable to simply use overwhelming force to
destroy it. However in the civilian environment the security forces
need to be more tolerant and more flexible. Therefore I hope before
acting the military give very serious consideration to my suggestion of
providing an alternative, less disruptive protest site to the
Brotherhood because in a democracy their right to protest does need to
be respected.
(Originally Posted) 12:30 on 4/8/13.
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