In the very early hours of Friday (3/5/13) morning vehicles were
destroyed close to the Syria/Lebanon border. It has since been confirmed
- off the record - that this was an Israeli air-strike against a convoy
carrying Russian made SA-7 MAN Portable Air Defence System (MANPAD)
missiles bound for Hezbollah in Lebanon. In the early hours of Sunday
(6/5/13) multiple, large explosions occurred at the Jamraya research
centre on the outskirts of the Syrian capital Damascus. Although Israel
never comments publicly on this type of operation it is widely believed
that this was another Israeli air-strike targeting an SA-7 storage
facility.
I think it is possible to read too much into these air-strikes. After
all a state war does exist between Israel and Syria and these type of
weapons do present a clear and present danger to Israel's safety and
security. Therefore primarily I consider them to be necessary strikes
against legitimate military targets. However coming in a week in which
US provocation of Israel over the issues of Syrian weapons and the US'
Rhianna operation has dramatically intensified they are also clearly
Israel's response.
Although their efforts have been dwarfed by recent events the CIA has
long supported insurgent groups in Syria since long before the so-called
'Arab Spring' and the current mayhem in the country. The excuse has
always been that by weakening the Syrian government the US was in turn
weakening Hezbollah and through that helping to protect Israel. This is
simply not the case. Over the past week Hezbollah has officially
confirmed that it is sending fighters to help support the Syrian
government. Quite apart from the real-world training this gives its
fighters Hezbollah is being rewarded for this support through access to
the Syrian arsenal of high powered, military grade weaponry. This only
makes Hezbollah stronger and unchecked could put them in a position to
attempt an invasion of Israel. If the Syrian government collapses
Hezbollah and other more radical Islamist groups could well exploit the
chaos to get hold of Syria's Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD). They
would then be able to mount attacks on Israel that would kill a
significant proportion of Israel's civilian population.
Therefore the Israeli air-strikes were intended to highlight the
severity of the situation to the US. The fact that Israel was able to
carry out the attacks unaided was a clear response to the US threat to
Israel through the Massive Ordinance Penetrator (MOP) that Israel must
obey the US in return for US protection. The strike against the Jamraya
research centre was intended to highlight that foreign intervention such
as the air-strikes needed to set up a suggested no-fly zone will
rapidly hasten the fall of the Syrian government and is therefore a
red-line that must not be crossed. The attack close to the Syria/Lebanon
border while we were awaiting Rihanna to cross the Canada/US border was
a clear reminder that if "Operation Misery" were to be terminated I
could dust off the "Operation Ostrava" designation and that along with
Mali should be the priority at this point.
11:45 on 6/5/13.
Edited at around 15:40 on 6/5/13 to add;
Since my Friday (3/5/13) Tweet US Federal authorities have got heavily
involved in managing the public statements regarding the California
wildfires. They are now being very keen to emphasises how under control
these wildfires are in a effort to force the wildfires to better fit the
official message regarding the 'community contaiment' of the
Rihanna/Chris Brown operation. This has been aided by genuine changes to
weather conditions which have brought significant relief to the actual
Los Angeles communities involved. I think this deserves a blog post of
it's own. After all it certainly disproves the claim that Rihanna
controls the weather because the weather has clearly being
countermanding Rihanna's efforts. Unfortunately I'm already two pints
down so I don't see that happening today.
Also Chris Brown has celebrated his birthday in Las Vegas where he was
joined by on/off girlfriend Kerrueche Tran. On the surface this was
intended to be interpreted that Chris Brown and Rihanna's relationship
is now over or 'contained by the community.' In reality though it was
intended to increase the pressure on Rihanna's core social group with
some members expressing anger at the news and other members expressing
relief. The US decided to emphasise this tension by setting fire to a
limousine on a bridge in San Francisco. The limousine represents
Rihanna's tour bus and we are left to speculate who the five dead and
five injured women are. Therefore I think it is fair to say that the US
position has hardened in response to the Israeli air-strikes. However I
don't think they've yet had time to fully digest and understand the
implications of the Israeli strikes.
As for Rihanna herself I'm about to go and have a look to see what she
has been up too. However I gather having being given a surprise day off
in which to dwell on Chris Brown's birthday celebrations and the Live
Nation promoted boxing 'match' between Floyd 'wife-beater' Mayweather
and Robert Guerrero through the use of Brooklyn's Barclays Centre arena
for the New York Nets V Chicago Bulls NBA basketball play-off game
Rihanna spent the day at the Barclays centre watching the Nets V Bulls
game before partying at the 40/40 nightclub which is part of the
Barclays centre. To me that just shows a worrying lack of imagination.
(Originally Posted 6/5/13)
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