Although it was quickly overwhelmed by other events on Wednesday
(16/7/14) four children were killed by Israeli naval artillery fire
whilst playing on a beach in Gaza.
On hearing of this my first thought was that the Israelis were aiming at
a target closer to sea and simply missed. This is the problem with
artillery weapons because they are essentially dumb weapons. All you can
do to aim them is choose an angle of elevation and hope the shell
travels the intended distance before gravity pulls it to the ground.
That can be affected by a host of factors including wind speed and
direction, the quality of the ammunition being used, air pressure and
temperature and even the temperature of the barrel of the weapon. As a
result it is incredibly common for artillery shells to over-shoot their
targets or fall short which often endangers troops on the side that is
doing the shooting. Of course my second thought was that the commander
of that specific boat thought he could get away with killing some
Palestinians possibly in the hope of inflaming the situation to force a
widening of the conflict. Although this highly aggressive Zionist view
is most certainly not typical of all Israelis the Israelis who do
consider themselves to be waging a sort of holy war tend to be drawn
towards careers in the military.
Whatever the cause I was hoping to use the pause in hostilities brought
about by Thursday's (17/7/14) UN brokered humanitarian ceasefire to use
the incident as an example of how this type of incident fuels the
conflict and can cause it to spin out of control. The killing of four
children obviously forces Hamas to fire rockets into Israel in
retaliation. That rocket fire forces Israel to carry out more
air-strikes into Gaza to halt the rocket fire risking more people being
killed and then more rocket fire. Unfortunately events later on Thursday
meant that I was quickly overtaken. Following the end of the
humanitarian ceasefire Hamas rejected a more durable ceasefire brokered
by Egypt. This obviously sent the message to Israel that Hamas wanted to
continuing fighting forcing Israel to look at the tactics Hamas had
used up to that point.
The most troubling of these was a raid on Thursday morning into Israel
via tunnel. Although four of the thirteen attackers were almost
immediately killed by an Israeli air-strike forcing the other nine to
retreat their intended target seemed to be the near-by Sufa kibbutz. As
this is a wholly civilian community Hamas' only intention could have
been to kidnap or massacre Israeli civilians and most likely a
combination of both. Israel - like any other nation - simply cannot
tolerate this type of threat to its civilians so on Thursday night
launched a ground offensive into Gaza.
This ground force was made up of combat engineers backed by infantry,
armoured and artillery units. It's objective is quite simply to demolish
tunnels that Hamas use to launch attacks into Israel and bunkers that
Hamas use to store weapons. Although there was initial talk of Israel
establishing a buffer zone I wouldn't be too surprised if that line
actually becomes quite jagged as the Israelis push in deep in certain
areas where there are tunnels but stay quite shallow where there aren't.
The problem is that while they are doing this complicated and dangerous
work engineers really don't like being shot at. So if they come under
attack they will simply bomb the position where their attackers are
ideally with missiles from fighter jets and drones but failing that
artillery fire. This is a completely standard military tactic and the
only reason why NATO has attack aircraft in Afghanistan.
As a result I was actually quite comfortable with the way Israeli
prosecuted the ground operation on Friday (18/7/14) and Saturday
(19/7/14) despite the death toll raising dramatically as always happens
when you move from air operations to ground operations. To put the
current risk to life in perspective within the first 12 hours of the
ground operations 20 civilians had been killed alongside 14 Hamas
fighters and 1 Israeli soldier. Almost as soon as the death of the
Israeli soldier was announced rumours started going around that they had
been killed by friendly fire. In a small nation such as Israel that has
a conscript army this is a particularly inflammatory rumour to start.
It seems intended to invoke comparisons with the 2008/9 Operation Cast
Lead which was so one-sided that Israels only fatalities came from
friendly fire. So when two more Israeli soldiers were killed in Israel
during another Hamas tunnel raid on Saturday (19/7/14) a counter rumour
was quickly started claiming that Hamas fighters were wearing Israeli
military uniforms.
Things took a dark turn on Saturday evening when Israel started an
artillery barrage against the Shijayia district that lasted for more
then 12 hours and killed 72 Palestinians. As far as I can tell this
action had no military value and instead seemed like an attempt to
demonstrate the tactics being used in Syria and by the Kiev junta
against rebels in eastern Ukraine. The intention seemed to be to
highlight the poisonous effects that the western backed conflict against
Syria has had across the entire Muslim world and has even spread to
Europe in Ukraine. After all on Saturday there were worldwide protests
against Israel but there never seem be any protests against what it
going on in Syria, Iraq, Nigeria, Kenya, Somalia or Ukraine giving the
impression that Israel gets treated differently.
Later on Sunday morning 13 members of Israels elite Golani Brigades were
killed during a Hamas ambush. On Sunday evening Hamas claimed that they
had captured alive an Israeli soldier although this has been denied and
Hamas have offered no proof to support their claim. The reason why
Hamas have been trying to kidnap Israelis is really twofold. In the long
term they want to try and use their hostages to negotiate the release
of prisoners like they did with Gilad Sahilt. Many of the prisoners who
were released under that deal were subsequently re-arrested during the
recent operation in the West Bank.
In the more immediate term Hamas are hoping to use the search for any
hostages to draw Israel further into Gaza. They are doing this in the
full knowledge that a wider Gaza offensive will bring with it more
artillery fire and therefore more civilian deaths. Hamas is hoping that a
high civilian death toll will increase anger at Israel and support for
them as the resistance against Israel. With Hamas only having the
capacity for another five to six weeks of fighting this looks likely to
be a serious mis-calculation. However this mentality that you win by
increasing the civilian death toll is something that has really caught
on across the middle-east ever since the Saudi and Qatari Kings told
Sunni Muslims to rise up against the Shias in Syria and Iraq and western
nations appear to have leaped to their aid.
Finally as a bit of an editors note I should point out that I am fully
aware that the Gaza operation is officially known as "Protective Edge."
Primarily this is to allow the Israeli military to distinguish between
an operation going on in Gaza and an operation going on in the West
Bank. However I am choosing to continue with the original name because
it helps to established the chain of events that led to this point.
(Originally Posted) 16:55 on 21/7/14 (UK date).
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