Overnight fighting has continued between the Islamic State of Iraq and
the Levant (ISIL) and the Kurdish Peoples Protection Units (YPG) in the
east of the strategically important city of Kobane/Ayn al-Arab which
sits just 1km (0.6miles) from Syria's border with Turkey.
Despite 34 ISIL fighters being confirmed killed this seems to have been
relatively light fighting rather then being a full on assault. This is a
classic war of attrition tactic. Essentially ISIL know that their
supply lines are stronger then the YPG's so they mount these constant
harassment attacks in order to force the YPG to use up their supplies of
ammunition and fighters in what is basically a fight over nothing.
Fortunately though it appears that the YPG's supplies could soon be
boosted. As I write two artillery platoons belonging to the Iraqi
Kurdish Peshmerga have left their base in Arbil, northern Iraq on route
to Turkey. From there they hope to be allowed to travel through Turkey
into Kobane although having heard so many times that Turkey has given
its permission for this to happen only to change its mind I for one will
find it hard to believe that it's really happening until I see pictures
of the Peshmerga actually arriving in Kobane. Of course if Turkey do
allow the Peshmerga to cross into Turkey then this type of supply convoy
will have to become a regular occurrence. After all soldiers without
supply lines are often a liability rather than an asset.
During last night's fighting ISIL's propaganda department released a
video showing British hostage John Cantlie 'reporting' for ISIL from
inside Kobane. Parts of this video do appear to have been shot just
outside the eastern outskirts of Kobane on Tuesday (21/10/14) or
Wednesday (22/10/14) of last week. However the script that Cantlie was
reading from hardly gave an accurate picture of the situation in Kobane
claiming that ISIL had completely over-run the city and were in the
final stages of a mopping up operation. In reality at the time it was
shot ISIL were only in control of around 20% of Kobane in several
pockets around the northern border crossing, the governance district and
the south-east entrance. The fact that ISIL are desperate to claim
victory in Kobane along with the vast number of troops led by some of
their top commanders that have been sent to seize Kobane shows just how
important it is to them. In fact I would go so far as to suggest that
ISIL could not withstand defeat at Kobane and they would quickly start
to collapse in on themselves.
What I also found interesting about the video is that it refers to
Kobane being defended by the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) rather then
the YPG and seems to celebrate the fact that Turkish President Recep
Tayyip Erdogan has drawn the anger of US Secretary of State John Kerry
by blocking the fight against ISIL. This strikes me as a further
indication that Erdogan and ISIL are close allies who are pursing the
same aims.
A possible reason why this week old video was released yesterday as
opposed to on Sunday (26/10/14) or today is that yesterday the US
convened a meeting of the Gulf Co-Operation Council (GCC), - Saudi
Arabia, Qatar etc - Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt, Turkey, Iraq, France and the
UK in Kuwait to tackle ISIL propaganda. Putting aside the fact that
ISIL were apparently able to spend more then a week preparing for this
meeting it strikes me as being at best an expensive waste of time and at
worst an effort to actively assist ISIL.
Although the John Cantlie videos are clearly the jewel in the crown of
ISIL's propaganda efforts the remaining 99% of it is largely awful. The
religious and theological justifications for ISIL's actions are so thin I
can quite easily discredit them and I am far from an Islamic scholar.
Similarly ISIL's claims of battlefield successes are equally easily
discredited and often completely detached from reality. A prime example
came on October 13th (13/10/14) when I writing a post about how the YPG
had succeeded in repelling a very large ISIL assault. The next day the
YPG broke out of Kobane and re-captured Tall Shair hill from ISIL.
However in the middle of me writing that post an ISIL spokesman popped
up to not only claim that ISIL's assault had been successful but they
were in control of the entire city. That of course does beg the question
of what has been going on for the last 15 days.
Therefore the real success that ISIL have had in getting their message
out has not come from their own efforts but from the extensive support
they've been given by professional news organisations such as the US
news networks who still insist on incorrectly referring to them as
"ISIS," Qatar's Al Jazeera, the UK's BBC and in particular the UK's
Channel 4 News. In the west these organisations have worked hard to
legitimise ISIL by changing the acronym by which their known in order to
disguise their true purpose and by portraying them as being in some
humanitarian fight against the Syrian government. Gulf based news
organisations have been even more blatant quite happily portraying ISIL
as good Sunni Muslims engaged in a holy war against the Shia infidel
even though they actually seemed to be engaged in the Gulf Monarchs
distinctly unholy war against democracy and human rights.
As such rather then setting up a task force to tackle ISIL propaganda
online which seems like a way to trick money out of the US and get the
US to highlight the problems with ISIL propaganda so the Gulf nations
can help them improve it seems much more sensible to simply reduce the
legitimisation of ISIL in the mainstream media. This should be
particularly easy for Qatar - after all their King (Emir) Hamad bin
Khalifa Al Thani is the cousin of Hamad bin Thamer bin Mohammed Al Thani
who runs the Al Jazeera new network.
As for the US' utterly spineless decision to give Turkey a USD10 million
to help meet the cost of Kurdish refugees from Syria whilst Turkey
continues to refuse to allow the use of United States Air Force (USAF)
base Incirlik words truly fail me.
(Originally Posted) 17:25 on 28/10/14 (UK date).
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