Rather annoyingly both Mali and Zimbabwe have today released their
election results on the same day. However I don't think it is any great
secret that the Mali election was specifically timed to coincide with
the Zimbabwe election in order to put maximum pressure on African
nations particularly South Africa.
In Zimbabwe it is only the results of the Parliamentary vote that have
been announced. The results of the Presidential vote will come later.
However it is clear that Mugabe's ZANU-PF party have won a landslide
victory winning 142 of the 210 Parliamentary seats giving them more than
a 2/3rds majority. Obviously we are still waiting for the Zimbabwe
Electoral Commission (ZEC) and the various observer missions to publish
their reports but such is the scale of ZANU-PF's victory even if all of
the small scale of alleged voting irregularities were found to be true
they wouldn't be enough to affect the outcome of the election. The fact
that ZANU-PF now have a more than 2/3rds Parliamentary majority means
that they now have the power to amend the national constitution which
will be highly controversial. Therefore while they won't change the
overall outcome these allegations of voting irregularity will need to be
looked at carefully. However at this point everybody is tensely waiting
to see whether the MDC-T will follow through on it's threat to bring
its supporters out onto the streets to challenge the election result.
Hopefully they won't.
The situation in Mali is slightly more complicated because their
Presidential vote has resulted in no candidate gaining the 50% of the
vote needed to win outright. This means that that two leading candidates
Ibrahim Boubacar Keita who received 39.2% of the vote and Soumaila
Cisse who received 19.4% of the vote will now go head to head in a
run-off vote scheduled for August 11th (11/8/13). Apart from the fact
they both have strong democratic credentials and a feud dating back more
than a decade I don't really know enough about either candidate to
comment further at this point. However the election run-off seems the
sensible way to proceed because Cisse in particular has made some very
loud and aggressive accusations of vote rigging and election
irregularities. The run-off gives the opportunity for these allegations
to be resolved by a new vote.
16:50 on 2/8/13
Edited at around 21:20 on 3/8/13 to add;
Today the result of the Zimbabwean Presidential election have been
released. They show Robert Mugabe winning a substantial victory with 61%
of the vote over Morgan Tsvangirai's 34% of the vote. As a result
Mugabe has passed the 50% threshold winning the Presidency outright with
no need for a run-off vote.
Having made his position quite clear before voting even began it goes
without saying that Tsvangirai has accused Mugabe of election fraud and
pledged to contest the result in Court. However as with the
Parliamentary vote the scale of Mugabe's victory means that any
irregularities that have been alleged so far would not be sufficient to
change the outcome of the vote. Therefore we can only hope that
Tsvangirai and the MDC-T respect the Court's decision and accept their
defeat graciously rather than bringing their supporters to the streets
in protest.
(Originally Posted on 2/8/13)
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